Analysis Sampdoria – Spezia (Serie A)

Back to matches

Serie A · April 22, 2023

SampdoriaS1:1SSpezia

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

actual X

35%

31%

34%

1 35%X 31%2 34%

Match preview

Sampdoria face Spezia in the Serie A, April 22, 2023 — and the model calls it tight: 35% home, 31% draw, 34% away. Over their last five, Sampdoria collected 4/15 points to Spezia's 5/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 38%, with BTTS at 46%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS yes

46%

Expected goals

1.1323 - 1.0766

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)66%

12 (home/away)69%

X2 (draw/away)65%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.566%

Over 2.538%

Over 3.518%

Clean sheet

Sampdoria34%

Spezia32%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Sampdoria attaque 0.68 face à une défense 1.27 ; Spezia attaque 0.69 face à 1.34.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.1323 - 1.0766

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Sampdoria 4/15 · Spezia 5/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0005).

Strengths — Sampdoria: att 0.68 / def 1.34 · Spezia: att 0.69 / def 1.27

Recent form (last 5)

S Sampdoria

LWLLD

S Spezia

WLDDL

Market odds

football-data — 2.79 / 3.27 / 2.8

Likely scores

1-1 · 14.7%

0-0 · 12.3%

1-0 · 11.1%

0-1 · 10.5%

2-1 · 7.6%

Head-to-head

1Sampdoria

0draws

2Spezia

3 meetings

Avg goals · 2.3

BTTS yes · 67%

Over 2.5 · 67%

Sep 17, 22Spezia2-1Sampdoria

Jan 23, 22Spezia1-0Sampdoria

Oct 22, 21Sampdoria2-1Spezia

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

Embed this prediction

Paste this on your site — it stays in sync and links back to Predify.

<iframe src="https://getpredify.com/embed/match/cmquoifr40cmbt0ddpvptzrs0" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Predify prediction"></iframe>