Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 62/100
✓ correct
65%
21%
14%
1 65%X 21%2 14%
Match preview
Atalanta face Spezia in the Serie A, May 03, 2023. Predify's model leans a home win with a 65% probability. Over their last five, Atalanta collected 10/15 points to Spezia's 3/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 57% and both teams to score 48%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS yes
48%
Expected goals
2.2041 - 0.7477
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)86%
12 (home/away)79%
X2 (draw/away)35%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.580%
Over 2.557%
Over 3.534%
Clean sheet
Atalanta47%
Spezia11%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Atalanta attaque 1.30 face à une défense 1.25 ; Spezia attaque 0.66 face à 1.00.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.2041 - 0.7477
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Atalanta 10/15 · Spezia 3/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.001).
Strengths — Atalanta: att 1.30 / def 1.00 · Spezia: att 0.66 / def 1.25
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.41 / 5.23 / 7.66
Likely scores
2-0 · 12.7%
1-0 · 10.7%
2-1 · 9.5%
1-1 · 9.5%
3-0 · 9.3%
Head-to-head
2Atalanta
1draws
0Spezia
3 meetings
Avg goals · 5.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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