Predify
Serie A · May 28, 2023
1X2 prediction
confidence 66/100
✓ correct
71%
19%
1 71%X 19%2 10%
⚡ Value detected on X (edge +5.4% vs market)
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS yes
42%
Expected goals
2.2192 - 0.6284
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)90%
12 (home/away)81%
X2 (draw/away)29%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.579%
Over 2.554%
Over 3.532%
Clean sheet
Lazio53%
Cremonese11%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lazio attaque 1.12 face à une défense 1.40 ; Cremonese attaque 0.77 face à 0.69.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.2192 - 0.6284
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lazio 7/15 · Cremonese 5/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0042).
Strengths — Lazio: att 1.12 / def 0.69 · Cremonese: att 0.77 / def 1.40
Recent form (last 5)
LazioLWLDW
C Cremonese
DDWLL
Market odds
football-data — 1.22 / 7.18 / 12.87
Likely scores
2-0 · 14.3%
1-0 · 12.1%
3-0 · 10.6%
2-1 · 9.0%
1-1 · 8.9%
Head-to-head
1Lazio
0draws
0Cremonese
1 meetings
Avg goals · 4.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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