Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 58/100
✓ correct
55%
27%
18%
1 55%X 27%2 18%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +9.1% vs market)
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS yes
40%
Expected goals
1.7524 - 0.637
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)82%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)45%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.570%
Over 2.543%
Over 3.522%
Clean sheet
Roma53%
Spezia17%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Roma attaque 1.01 face à une défense 1.25 ; Spezia attaque 0.63 face à 0.85.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.7524 - 0.637
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Roma 3/15 · Spezia 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0088).
Strengths — Roma: att 1.01 / def 0.85 · Spezia: att 0.63 / def 1.25
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.79 / 3.64 / 5.06
Likely scores
1-0 · 15.0%
2-0 · 14.1%
1-1 · 11.3%
0-0 · 10.2%
2-1 · 9.0%
Head-to-head
3Roma
0draws
0Spezia
3 meetings
Avg goals · 1.7
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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