Predify
Serie A · April 12, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 63/100
✓ correct
67%
22%
1 67%X 22%2 12%
Match preview
Lazio face Salernitana in the Serie A, April 12, 2024. Predify's model leans a home win with a 67% probability. Over their last five, Lazio collected 6/15 points to Salernitana's 2/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 53% and both teams to score 44%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS yes
44%
Expected goals
2.1169 - 0.676
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)88%
12 (home/away)78%
X2 (draw/away)33%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.578%
Over 2.553%
Over 3.531%
Clean sheet
Lazio51%
Salernitana12%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lazio attaque 0.96 face à une défense 1.54 ; Salernitana attaque 0.69 face à 0.83.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.1169 - 0.676
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lazio 6/15 · Salernitana 2/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0008).
Strengths — Lazio: att 0.96 / def 0.83 · Salernitana: att 0.69 / def 1.54
Recent form (last 5)
LazioLLWWL
S Salernitana
DLLLD
Market odds
football-data — 1.33 / 5.41 / 10.52
Likely scores
2-0 · 13.7%
1-0 · 12.1%
3-0 · 9.7%
1-1 · 9.6%
2-1 · 9.3%
Head-to-head
3Lazio
0draws
2Salernitana
5 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 40%
Over 2.5 · 80%
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