Predify
Serie A · May 25, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 74/100
actual X
81%
12%
1 81%X 12%2 7%
Match preview
Milan face Salernitana in the Serie A, May 25, 2024. Predify's model leans a home win with a 81% probability. Over their last five, Milan collected 5/15 points to Salernitana's 1/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 79% and both teams to score 53%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
79%
Under 2.5
21%
BTTS yes
53%
Expected goals
3.3862 - 0.782
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)93%
12 (home/away)88%
X2 (draw/away)19%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.592%
Over 2.579%
Over 3.560%
Clean sheet
Milan46%
Salernitana3%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Milan attaque 1.51 face à une défense 1.58 ; Salernitana attaque 0.65 face à 1.00.
Buts attendus (λ)
3.3862 - 0.782
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Milan 5/15 · Salernitana 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0004).
Strengths — Milan: att 1.51 / def 1.00 · Salernitana: att 0.65 / def 1.58
Recent form (last 5)
MilanLDDWL
S Salernitana
LLLDL
Market odds
football-data — 1.11 / 10.94 / 21.12
Likely scores
3-0 · 10.0%
2-0 · 8.9%
4-0 · 8.5%
3-1 · 7.8%
2-1 · 7.0%
Head-to-head
2Milan
3draws
0Salernitana
5 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 80%
Over 2.5 · 60%
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