Analysis Milan – Fiorentina (Serie A)

Back to matches

Serie A · April 05, 2025

Milan

2:2

Fiorentina

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

actual X

43%

28%

29%

1 43%X 28%2 29%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +16.5% vs market)

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

BTTS yes

56%

Expected goals

1.3418 - 1.3591

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)71%

12 (home/away)72%

X2 (draw/away)57%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.576%

Over 2.551%

Over 3.529%

Clean sheet

Milan26%

Fiorentina26%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Milan attaque 1.20 face à une défense 0.82 ; Fiorentina attaque 1.18 face à 0.98.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.3418 - 1.3591

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Milan 6/15 · Fiorentina 9/15

Accord avec le marché

⚠ Divergence notable avec le marché (0.0323) — prudence.

Strengths — Milan: att 1.20 / def 0.98 · Fiorentina: att 1.18 / def 0.82

Recent form (last 5)

Milan

LLWWL

Fiorentina

LWLWW

Market odds

football-data — 1.79 / 3.73 / 4.9

Likely scores

1-1 · 13.5%

1-2 · 8.3%

2-1 · 8.2%

0-0 · 7.9%

0-1 · 7.9%

Head-to-head

3Milan

0draws

2Fiorentina

5 meetings

Avg goals · 2.6

BTTS yes · 80%

Over 2.5 · 80%

Oct 06, 24Fiorentina2-1Milan

Mar 30, 24Fiorentina1-2Milan

Nov 25, 23Milan1-0Fiorentina

Mar 04, 23

Embed this prediction

Paste this on your site — it stays in sync and links back to Predify.

<iframe src="https://getpredify.com/embed/match/cmquoij5g0eyxt0ddoetckuj6" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Predify prediction"></iframe>