Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual X
30%
30%
40%
1 30%X 30%2 40%
Match preview
Lazio face Roma in the Serie A, April 13, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 30% home, 30% draw, 40% away. Over their last five, Lazio collected 8/15 points to Roma's 13/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 49%, with BTTS at 54%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS yes
54%
Expected goals
1.1576 - 1.4846
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)60%
12 (home/away)70%
X2 (draw/away)70%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.575%
Over 2.549%
Over 3.527%
Clean sheet
Lazio23%
Roma31%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lazio attaque 1.19 face à une défense 0.72 ; Roma attaque 1.22 face à 1.02.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.1576 - 1.4846
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lazio 8/15 · Roma 13/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.001).
Strengths — Lazio: att 1.19 / def 1.02 · Roma: att 1.22 / def 0.72
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 3.27 / 3.21 / 2.44
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.5%
0-1 · 9.3%
1-2 · 9.1%
0-0 · 8.3%
0-2 · 7.8%
Head-to-head
2Lazio
1draws
2Roma
5 meetings
Avg goals · 1.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
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