Analysis Cagliari – Fiorentina (Serie A)

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Serie A · April 23, 2025

Cagliari

1:2

Fiorentina

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

✓ correct

28%

30%

42%

1 28%X 30%2 42%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +13.3% vs market)

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

BTTS yes

49%

Expected goals

0.9306 - 1.541

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)58%

12 (home/away)70%

X2 (draw/away)72%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.572%

Over 2.545%

Over 3.524%

Clean sheet

Cagliari21%

Fiorentina39%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Cagliari attaque 0.84 face à une défense 0.83 ; Fiorentina attaque 1.16 face à 1.14.

Buts attendus (λ)

0.9306 - 1.541

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Cagliari 5/15 · Fiorentina 8/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0149).

Strengths — Cagliari: att 0.84 / def 1.14 · Fiorentina: att 1.16 / def 0.83

Recent form (last 5)

Cagliari

DLWDL

Fiorentina

LWWDD

Market odds

football-data — 3.08 / 3.1 / 2.63

Likely scores

1-1 · 13.3%

0-1 · 11.8%

0-2 · 10.0%

0-0 · 9.7%

1-2 · 9.3%

Head-to-head

0Cagliari

1draws

4Fiorentina

5 meetings

Avg goals · 2.8

BTTS yes · 40%

Over 2.5 · 60%

Dec 08, 24Fiorentina1-0Cagliari

May 23, 24Cagliari2-3Fiorentina

Oct 02, 23Fiorentina3-0Cagliari

Jan 23, 22

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