Analysis Fiorentina – Empoli (Serie A)

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Serie A · April 27, 2025

Fiorentina

2:1EEmpoli

1X2 prediction

confidence 58/100

✓ correct

55%

27%

18%

1 55%X 27%2 18%

⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +27.1% vs market)

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

BTTS yes

40%

Expected goals

2.1364 - 0.5952

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)82%

12 (home/away)73%

X2 (draw/away)45%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.577%

Over 2.551%

Over 3.529%

Clean sheet

Fiorentina55%

Empoli12%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Fiorentina attaque 1.19 face à une défense 1.36 ; Empoli attaque 0.62 face à 0.84.

Buts attendus (λ)

2.1364 - 0.5952

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Fiorentina 11/15 · Empoli 3/15

Accord avec le marché

⚠ Divergence notable avec le marché (0.0601) — prudence.

Strengths — Fiorentina: att 1.19 / def 0.84 · Empoli: att 0.62 / def 1.36

Recent form (last 5)

Fiorentina

WWDDW

E Empoli

LDDLD

Market odds

football-data — 2.15 / 3.08 / 4.2

Likely scores

2-0 · 14.9%

1-0 · 13.1%

3-0 · 10.6%

1-1 · 9.1%

2-1 · 8.8%

Head-to-head

0Fiorentina

4draws

1Empoli

5 meetings

Avg goals · 1.2

BTTS yes · 40%

Over 2.5 · 0%

Sep 29, 24Empoli0-0Fiorentina

Feb 18, 24Empoli1-1Fiorentina

Oct 23, 23Fiorentina0-2Empoli

Feb 19, 23

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