Analysis Monza – Empoli (Serie A)

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Serie A · May 18, 2025

Monza

1:3EEmpoli

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

✓ correct

26%

30%

45%

1 26%X 30%2 45%

⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +12.8% vs market)

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS yes

45%

Expected goals

1.0255 - 1.1584

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)55%

12 (home/away)70%

X2 (draw/away)74%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.565%

Over 2.537%

Over 3.518%

Clean sheet

Monza31%

Empoli36%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Monza attaque 0.60 face à une défense 1.32 ; Empoli attaque 0.65 face à 1.52.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.0255 - 1.1584

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Monza 3/15 · Empoli 4/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0269).

Strengths — Monza: att 0.60 / def 1.52 · Empoli: att 0.65 / def 1.32

Recent form (last 5)

Monza

LLLLW

E Empoli

LDLLW

Market odds

football-data — 5.39 / 3.66 / 1.74

Likely scores

1-1 · 14.7%

0-0 · 12.6%

0-1 · 11.7%

1-0 · 10.2%

1-2 · 7.8%

Head-to-head

2Monza

1draws

2Empoli

5 meetings

Avg goals · 1.8

BTTS yes · 20%

Over 2.5 · 40%

Aug 17, 24Empoli0-0Monza

Jan 21, 24Empoli3-0Monza

Aug 26, 23Monza2-0Empoli

Mar 04, 23

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