Predify
La Liga · April 21, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
✓ correct
28%
25%
47%
1 28%X 25%2 47%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS yes
67%
Expected goals
1.4267 - 2.0206
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)53%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)72%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.587%
Over 2.567%
Over 3.545%
Clean sheet
Almeria13%
Villarreal24%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Almeria attaque 0.81 face à une défense 1.23 ; Villarreal attaque 1.32 face à 1.40.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.4267 - 2.0206
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Almeria 5/15 · Villarreal 10/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0002).
Strengths — Almeria: att 0.81 / def 1.40 · Villarreal: att 1.32 / def 1.23
Recent form (last 5)
AlmeriaLDWLD
VillarrealWWWLD
Market odds
football-data — 3.56 / 4.06 / 1.99
Likely scores
1-1 · 10.1%
1-2 · 9.3%
2-2 · 6.6%
2-1 · 6.6%
0-2 · 6.5%
Head-to-head
0Almeria
0draws
3Villarreal
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.7
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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