Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 67/100
✓ correct
17%
73%
1 10%X 17%2 73%
Match preview
Leganes face Barcelona in the La Liga, April 12, 2025. Predify's model leans an away win with a 73% probability. Over their last five, Leganes collected 4/15 points to Barcelona's 13/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 73% and both teams to score 54%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
73%
Under 2.5
27%
BTTS yes
54%
Expected goals
0.8284 - 2.9586
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)27%
12 (home/away)83%
X2 (draw/away)90%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.590%
Over 2.573%
Over 3.552%
Clean sheet
Leganes5%
Barcelona44%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Leganes attaque 0.81 face à une défense 0.71 ; Barcelona attaque 1.98 face à 1.25.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.8284 - 2.9586
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Leganes 4/15 · Barcelona 13/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0016).
Strengths — Leganes: att 0.81 / def 1.25 · Barcelona: att 1.98 / def 0.71
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 10.58 / 6.56 / 1.26
Likely scores
0-2 · 9.9%
0-3 · 9.8%
1-2 · 8.2%
1-3 · 8.1%
0-4 · 7.2%
Head-to-head
1Leganes
0draws
0Barcelona
1 meetings
Avg goals · 1.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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