Predify
La Liga · April 24, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
✓ correct
59%
25%
16%
1 59%X 25%2 16%
Match preview
Ath Madrid face Vallecano in the La Liga, April 24, 2025. Predify's model leans a home win with a 59% probability. Over their last five, Ath Madrid collected 7/15 points to Vallecano's 5/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 47%, with BTTS at 45%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS yes
45%
Expected goals
1.8159 - 0.7403
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)84%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)41%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.573%
Over 2.547%
Over 3.525%
Clean sheet
Ath Madrid48%
Vallecano16%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Ath Madrid attaque 1.27 face à une défense 1.01 ; Vallecano attaque 0.79 face à 0.78.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.8159 - 0.7403
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Ath Madrid 7/15 · Vallecano 5/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0006).
Strengths — Ath Madrid: att 1.27 / def 0.78 · Vallecano: att 0.79 / def 1.01
Recent form (last 5)
AM Ath Madrid
LDWWL
VallecanoDWLLD
Market odds
football-data — 1.51 / 4.39 / 6.83
Likely scores
1-0 · 13.1%
2-0 · 12.8%
1-1 · 11.5%
2-1 · 9.5%
0-0 · 8.8%
Head-to-head
3Ath Madrid
2draws
0Vallecano
5 meetings
Avg goals · 3.4
BTTS yes · 80%
Over 2.5 · 60%
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