Predify
La Liga · May 03, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual 2
36%
31%
34%
1 36%X 31%2 34%
Match preview
Las Palmas face Valencia in the La Liga, May 03, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 36% home, 31% draw, 34% away. Over their last five, Las Palmas collected 7/15 points to Valencia's 11/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 46%, with BTTS at 52%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS yes
52%
Expected goals
1.2577 - 1.2496
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)66%
12 (home/away)69%
X2 (draw/away)64%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.573%
Over 2.546%
Over 3.524%
Clean sheet
Las Palmas29%
Valencia28%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Las Palmas attaque 0.84 face à une défense 1.05 ; Valencia attaque 0.92 face à 1.17.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.2577 - 1.2496
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Las Palmas 7/15 · Valencia 11/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0004).
Strengths — Las Palmas: att 0.84 / def 1.17 · Valencia: att 0.92 / def 1.05
Recent form (last 5)
Las PalmasDLWWL
ValenciaWWWDD
Market odds
football-data — 2.67 / 3.18 / 2.96
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.1%
0-0 · 9.4%
1-0 · 9.0%
0-1 · 8.9%
2-1 · 8.1%
Head-to-head
2Las Palmas
0draws
1Valencia
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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