Predify
La Liga · May 09, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual 2
37%
31%
32%
1 37%X 31%2 32%
Match preview
Las Palmas face Vallecano in the La Liga, May 09, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 37% home, 31% draw, 32% away. Over their last five, Las Palmas collected 6/15 points to Vallecano's 4/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 42%, with BTTS at 49%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS yes
49%
Expected goals
1.2759 - 1.0776
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)68%
12 (home/away)69%
X2 (draw/away)63%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.569%
Over 2.542%
Over 3.521%
Clean sheet
Las Palmas34%
Vallecano28%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Las Palmas attaque 0.87 face à une défense 1.02 ; Vallecano attaque 0.75 face à 1.22.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.2759 - 1.0776
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Las Palmas 6/15 · Vallecano 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0012).
Strengths — Las Palmas: att 0.87 / def 1.22 · Vallecano: att 0.75 / def 1.02
Recent form (last 5)
Las PalmasLWWLL
VallecanoLLDLW
Market odds
football-data — 2.68 / 3.22 / 2.92
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.4%
1-0 · 10.8%
0-0 · 10.8%
0-1 · 8.9%
2-1 · 8.3%
Head-to-head
2Las Palmas
0draws
1Vallecano
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.3
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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