Predify
La Liga · May 14, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 62/100
✓ correct
64%
21%
15%
1 64%X 21%2 15%
⚡ Value detected on X (edge +5.0% vs market)
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS yes
55%
Expected goals
2.1625 - 0.9574
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)85%
12 (home/away)79%
X2 (draw/away)36%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.583%
Over 2.560%
Over 3.538%
Clean sheet
Villarreal38%
Leganes12%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Villarreal attaque 1.27 face à une défense 1.17 ; Leganes attaque 0.85 face à 0.96.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.1625 - 0.9574
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Villarreal 10/15 · Leganes 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0087).
Strengths — Villarreal: att 1.27 / def 0.96 · Leganes: att 0.85 / def 1.17
Recent form (last 5)
VillarrealDLWWW
LeganesLDDDW
Market odds
football-data — 1.31 / 5.93 / 9.99
Likely scores
2-0 · 10.3%
1-1 · 10.1%
2-1 · 9.9%
1-0 · 8.6%
3-0 · 7.4%
Head-to-head
1Villarreal
0draws
0Leganes
1 meetings
Avg goals · 7.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Dec 22, 24Leganes2-5Villarreal
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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