Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 27/100
✓ correct
32%
32%
36%
1 32%X 32%2 36%
Match preview
St Pauli face Freiburg in the Bundesliga, March 22, 2026 · 04:30 PM — and the model calls it tight: 32% home, 32% draw, 36% away. Over their last five, St Pauli collected 7/15 points to Freiburg's 4/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 38%, with BTTS at 46%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS yes
46%
Expected goals
1.0592 - 1.1405
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)64%
12 (home/away)68%
X2 (draw/away)68%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.566%
Over 2.538%
Over 3.518%
Clean sheet
St Pauli32%
Freiburg35%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
St Pauli attaque 0.53 face à une défense 1.08 ; Freiburg attaque 0.80 face à 1.01.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.0592 - 1.1405
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
St Pauli 7/15 · Freiburg 4/15
Strengths — St Pauli: att 0.53 / def 1.01 · Freiburg: att 0.80 / def 1.08
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
No odds available.
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.7%
0-0 · 12.4%
0-1 · 11.3%
1-0 · 10.4%
1-2 · 7.6%
Head-to-head
1St Pauli
0draws
2Freiburg
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.3
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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