New York Red Bulls face New York City FC in the Major League Soccer, May 16, 2026 · 11:30 PM — and the model calls it tight: 36% home, 25% draw, 39% away. Over their last five, New York Red Bulls collected 7/15 points to New York City FC's 7/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 70% and both teams to score 71%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.