Sarmiento Junin face Tristan Suarez in the Copa Argentina, April 09, 2026 · 12:10 AM — and the model calls it tight: 37% home, 35% draw, 29% away. Over their last five, Sarmiento Junin collected 10/15 points to Tristan Suarez's 0/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 27%, with BTTS at 37%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.