Analysis Union Santa Fe – Independiente (Copa Argentina)

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Copa Argentina · May 22, 2026 · 11:00 PM

Union Santa Fe

0:2

Independiente

1X2 prediction

confidence 29/100

actual 2

45%

26%

29%

1 45%X 26%2 29%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

BTTS yes

63%

Expected goals

1.8024 - 1.3625

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)71%

12 (home/away)74%

X2 (draw/away)55%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.583%

Over 2.561%

Over 3.539%

Clean sheet

Union Santa Fe26%

Independiente16%

Why this prediction?

Attack vs defense

Union Santa Fe attacks 1.29 against a 1.16 defense; Independiente attacks 1.37 against 1.14.

Expected goals (λ)

1.8024 - 1.3625

Form (last 5, pts)

Union Santa Fe 5/15 · Independiente 7/15

Strengths — Union Santa Fe: att 1.29 / def 1.14 · Independiente: att 1.37 / def 1.16

Recent form (last 5)

Union Santa Fe

LDDWL

Independiente

DWLWL

Market odds

No odds available.

Likely scores

1-1 · 11.4%

2-1 · 9.3%

1-2 · 7.1%

2-0 · 6.9%

1-0 · 6.6%

Head-to-head

0Union Santa Fe

1draws

1Independiente

2 meetings

Avg goals · 5.5

BTTS yes · 50%

Over 2.5 · 100%

Mar 10, 26Independiente4-4Union Santa Fe

Nov 06, 24Independiente3-0Union Santa Fe

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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