Patronato face Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional, May 17, 2026 · 19:00 — and the model calls it tight: 34% home, 38% draw, 28% away. Over their last five, Patronato collected 9/15 points to Chacarita Juniors's 10/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 19%, with BTTS at 29%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a draw is the lean, never a lock. Gamble responsibly.