Analysis Quilmes – Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional)

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Primera Nacional · May 17, 2026 · 20:00

Quilmes

0:1

Tristan Suarez

1X2 prediction

confidence 27/100

actual 2

37%

35%

28%

1 37%X 35%2 28%

Over 2.5

26%

Under 2.5

74%

BTTS yes

35%

Expected goals

0.9705 - 0.7903

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)72%

12 (home/away)65%

X2 (draw/away)63%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.554%

Over 2.526%

Over 3.510%

Clean sheet

Quilmes45%

Tristan Suarez38%

Why this prediction?

Attack vs defense

Quilmes attacks 1.00 against a 0.86 defense; Tristan Suarez attacks 1.10 against 0.95.

Expected goals (λ)

0.9705 - 0.7903

Form (last 5, pts)

Quilmes 3/15 · Tristan Suarez 5/15

Strengths — Quilmes: att 1.00 / def 0.95 · Tristan Suarez: att 1.10 / def 0.86

Recent form (last 5)

Quilmes

DDLDL

Tristan Suarez

DDWLL

Market odds

No odds available.

Likely scores

0-0 · 18.5%

1-0 · 15.4%

1-1 · 14.5%

0-1 · 12.3%

2-0 · 8.1%

Head-to-head

0Quilmes

1draws

1Tristan Suarez

2 meetings

Avg goals · 0.5

BTTS yes · 0%

Over 2.5 · 0%

Oct 04, 25Quilmes0-1Tristan Suarez

May 31, 25Tristan Suarez0-0Quilmes

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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