Analysis Atletico Mitre – Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional)

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Primera Nacional · May 31, 2026 · 19:00

Atletico Mitre

1:3

Deportivo Moron

1X2 prediction

confidence 27/100

actual 2

36%

34%

30%

1 36%X 34%2 30%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

BTTS yes

40%

Expected goals

1.0434 - 0.9147

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)70%

12 (home/away)66%

X2 (draw/away)64%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.560%

Over 2.531%

Over 3.514%

Clean sheet

Atletico Mitre40%

Deportivo Moron35%

Why this prediction?

Attack vs defense

Atletico Mitre attacks 1.17 against a 0.80 defense; Deportivo Moron attacks 1.32 against 0.98.

Expected goals (λ)

1.0434 - 0.9147

Form (last 5, pts)

Atletico Mitre 9/15 · Deportivo Moron 8/15

Strengths — Atletico Mitre: att 1.17 / def 0.98 · Deportivo Moron: att 1.32 / def 0.80

Recent form (last 5)

Atletico Mitre

DWDWD

Deportivo Moron

WDDLW

Market odds

No odds available.

Likely scores

0-0 · 15.5%

1-1 · 14.8%

1-0 · 13.4%

0-1 · 11.6%

2-0 · 7.7%

Head-to-head

0Atletico Mitre

1draws

1Deportivo Moron

2 meetings

Avg goals · 1.5

BTTS yes · 0%

Over 2.5 · 50%

Sep 28, 25Deportivo Moron3-0Atletico Mitre

May 25, 25Atletico Mitre0-0Deportivo Moron

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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