Analysis Colegiales – Quilmes (Primera Nacional)

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Primera Nacional · June 20, 2026 · 18:00

Colegiales

3:1

Quilmes

1X2 prediction

confidence 28/100

actual 1

36%

39%

25%

1 36%X 39%2 25%

Over 2.5

17%

Under 2.5

83%

BTTS yes

26%

Expected goals

0.8189 - 0.6003

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)75%

12 (home/away)61%

X2 (draw/away)64%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.543%

Over 2.517%

Over 3.56%

Clean sheet

Colegiales55%

Quilmes44%

Why this prediction?

Attack vs defense

Colegiales attacks 0.96 against a 0.76 defense; Quilmes attacks 0.92 against 0.91.

Expected goals (λ)

0.8189 - 0.6003

Form (last 5, pts)

Colegiales 8/15 · Quilmes 8/15

Strengths — Colegiales: att 0.96 / def 0.91 · Quilmes: att 0.92 / def 0.76

Recent form (last 5)

Colegiales

WDDLW

Quilmes

LDWDW

Market odds

No odds available.

Likely scores

0-0 · 25.4%

1-0 · 18.6%

0-1 · 13.3%

1-1 · 13.1%

2-0 · 8.1%

Head-to-head

1Colegiales

0draws

1Quilmes

2 meetings

Avg goals · 1.0

BTTS yes · 0%

Over 2.5 · 0%

Jul 26, 25Colegiales1-0Quilmes

Mar 27, 25Quilmes1-0Colegiales

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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