Analysis Almagro – Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional)

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Primera Nacional · July 04, 2026 · 18:30

Almagro

1:0

Atletico DE Rafaela

1X2 prediction

confidence 28/100

actual 1

35%

39%

26%

1 35%X 39%2 26%

Over 2.5

18%

Under 2.5

82%

BTTS yes

27%

Expected goals

0.8089 - 0.6395

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)74%

12 (home/away)61%

X2 (draw/away)65%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.544%

Over 2.518%

Over 3.56%

Clean sheet

Almagro53%

Atletico DE Rafaela45%

Why this prediction?

Attack vs defense

Almagro attacks 0.94 against a 0.76 defense; Atletico DE Rafaela attacks 0.82 against 1.07.

Expected goals (λ)

0.8089 - 0.6395

Form (last 5, pts)

Almagro 10/15 · Atletico DE Rafaela 8/15

Strengths — Almagro: att 0.94 / def 1.07 · Atletico DE Rafaela: att 0.82 / def 0.76

Recent form (last 5)

Almagro

LWDWW

Atletico DE Rafaela

WLWDD

Market odds

No odds available.

Likely scores

0-0 · 24.7%

1-0 · 17.8%

0-1 · 13.8%

1-1 · 13.4%

2-0 · 7.7%

Head-to-head

0Almagro

1draws

0Atletico DE Rafaela

1 meetings

Avg goals · 0.0

BTTS yes · 0%

Over 2.5 · 0%

Feb 14, 26Atletico DE Rafaela0-0Almagro

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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