Analysis Quilmes – Atlanta (Primera Nacional)

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Primera Nacional · July 04, 2026 · 21:00

Quilmes

2:1

Atlanta

1X2 prediction

confidence 27/100

actual 1

33%

36%

31%

1 33%X 36%2 31%

Over 2.5

25%

Under 2.5

75%

BTTS yes

35%

Expected goals

0.8911 - 0.8359

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)69%

12 (home/away)64%

X2 (draw/away)67%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.553%

Over 2.525%

Over 3.510%

Clean sheet

Quilmes43%

Atlanta41%

Why this prediction?

Attack vs defense

Quilmes attacks 0.93 against a 0.84 defense; Atlanta attacks 1.30 against 0.90.

Expected goals (λ)

0.8911 - 0.8359

Form (last 5, pts)

Quilmes 8/15 · Atlanta 10/15

Strengths — Quilmes: att 0.93 / def 0.90 · Atlanta: att 1.30 / def 0.84

Recent form (last 5)

Quilmes

DWDWL

Atlanta

WDWWL

Market odds

No odds available.

Likely scores

0-0 · 19.1%

1-1 · 14.6%

1-0 · 14.5%

0-1 · 13.5%

2-0 · 7.1%

Head-to-head

1Quilmes

0draws

2Atlanta

3 meetings

Avg goals · 2.0

BTTS yes · 33%

Over 2.5 · 33%

Feb 16, 26Atlanta1-0Quilmes

Aug 06, 25Quilmes2-1Atlanta

Apr 01, 25Atlanta2-0Quilmes

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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