Predify
Primera Nacional · July 11, 2026 · 18:00
1X2 prediction
confidence 27/100
actual 2
32%
35%
33%
1 32%X 35%2 33%
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
BTTS yes
38%
Expected goals
0.9143 - 0.9403
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)67%
12 (home/away)65%
X2 (draw/away)68%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.557%
Over 2.528%
Over 3.512%
Clean sheet
San Miguel39%
Ferro Carril Oeste40%
Why this prediction?
Attack vs defense
San Miguel attacks 0.96 against a 0.83 defense; Ferro Carril Oeste attacks 1.20 against 1.08.
Expected goals (λ)
0.9143 - 0.9403
Form (last 5, pts)
San Miguel 7/15 · Ferro Carril Oeste 13/15
Strengths — San Miguel: att 0.96 / def 1.08 · Ferro Carril Oeste: att 1.20 / def 0.83
Recent form (last 5)
San MiguelDDDWD
Ferro Carril OesteDWWWW
Market odds
No odds available.
Likely scores
0-0 · 17.0%
1-1 · 14.8%
0-1 · 13.4%
1-0 · 13.0%
0-2 · 6.9%
Head-to-head
2San Miguel
1draws
0Ferro Carril Oeste
3 meetings
Avg goals · 1.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 0%
Feb 21, 26Ferro Carril Oeste1-1San Miguel
Sep 14, 25Ferro Carril Oeste0-1San Miguel
May 10, 25San Miguel2-0Ferro Carril Oeste
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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