Predify
Every prediction is frozen and timestamped before kickoff, then graded after the match. Nothing is retouched: the record below is verifiable, not marketing.
Calibrated. our probabilities deviate on average by just 0.9% from reality — measured on 5,883 predictions, recalibrated daily.
5769 more prediction(s) awaiting results · model dixon-coles-ts@0.1.0
Performance recomputed over history (no future data) and compared to the market — useful while the verified record fills up.
Sample: 157 predictions · Major League Soccer
The market stays the benchmark — our results speak for themselves.
When we say "70%", does it happen ~70% of the time? The closer the points hug the diagonal, the more reliable our probabilities.
| Predicted | Observed | n |
|---|---|---|
| 7% | 29% | 24 |
| 15% | 25% | 95 |
| 25% | 25% | 158 |
| 34% | 37% | 49 |
| 45% | 48% | 42 |
| 54% | 48% | 42 |
| 65% | 44% | 34 |
| 75% | 47% | 19 |
| 85% | 50% | 6 |
| 91% | 100% | 2 |